ไทม์ไลน์ข่าวสาร forex

08:53 EUR/GBP softens below 0.8650 as traders brace for US-Ukraine talks
The EUR/GBP cross tumbles to around 0.8630 during the early European session on Monday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) weakens against the Euro (EUR) amid the upbeat UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report for the second quarter (Q2).

08:42 GBP/JPY climbs back to 200.00, remains close to over one-year peak touched last week
The GBP/JPY cross regains positive traction at the start of a new week and climbs back closer to the 200.00 psychological mark during the Asian session.

08:15 Gold rebounds from two-week low ahead of Trump-Zelensky meeting
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds swiftly from over a two-week low, around the $3,324-3,323 area touched during the Asian session on Monday, and touches a fresh daily top in the last hour.

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The growing acceptance that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its rate-cutting cycle in September triggers a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields. This, along with some repositing trade ahead of US President Donald Trump's meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and European leaders to discuss a peace deal with Russia, offers some support to the safe-haven bullion.Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) ticks higher amid diminishing odds for a more aggressive policy easing by the Fed, which might keep a lid on any meaningful appreciating move for the non-yielding Gold. Apart from this, the prevalent risk-on mood warrants some caution for the XAU/USD bulls. Traders might also opt to wait for more cues about the Fed's rate-cut path before placing fresh directional bets. Hence, the focus will remain glued to the release of the FOMC Minutes and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium during the latter part of the week.Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price draws support from sliding US bond yields ahead of Trump-Zelenskyy meetingTraders now seem convinced that the US Federal Reserve will lower borrowing costs at its September meeting. Moreover, the CME Group's FedWatch Tool indicates the possibility of at least two 25-basis-point Fed rate cuts by the end of this year.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet US President Donald Trump for bilateral talks on Monday. Later, the key European leaders will be joining a larger conversation to discuss a peace deal to end Europe's deadliest war in 80 years.Data released last Thursday showed that US producer prices rose in July at the fastest monthly pace since 2022 and tempered bets for a jumbo 50 bps interest rate cut by the Fed. This assists the US Dollar in attracting some buyers at the start of a new week.Meanwhile, the preliminary data from the University of Michigan showed that the one-year inflation expectations climbed to 4.9% from 4.5% and the five-year forecast increased to 3.9% from 3.4%, indicating a gain of momentum in price pressures.Additional details showed that the US Consumer Sentiment Index unexpectedly dropped to 58.6 in August from 61.7 in the previous month, signalling a poor backdrop in public confidence. Moreover, the Expectations Index eased to 57.2 from 57.7.Earlier, the US Census Bureau reported on Friday that the US Retail Sales increased by 0.5% on a monthly basis in July. This followed the 0.9% rise (revised up from 0.6%) recorded in the previous month and matched consensus estimates.Traders now look forward to the release of the FOMC meeting Minutes on Wednesday and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium during the latter part of the week for more cues about the near-term rate-cut path.Apart from this, geopolitical developments will play a key role in influencing demand for traditional safe-haven assets and provide some meaningful impetus to the Gold price.Gold intraday bullish technical setup backs the case for a further appreciating moveAn intraday bounce from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the upswing from the July monthly low and a subsequent move beyond the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart favor the XAU/USD bulls. Moreover, oscillators on the said chart have again started gaining positive traction and back the case for a further intraday appreciating move. Some follow-through buying beyond the $3,355 area, or the 50% retracement level, will reaffirm the positive outlook and lift the Gold price to the next relevant hurdle near the $3,372-3,374 region, or the 23.6% Fibo. retracement level. The momentum could extend further and allow the commodity to reclaim the $3,400 mark before aiming to test the monthly peak, around the $3,408-3,410 area.On the flip side, the 200-SMA on H4, around the $3,346 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $3,324-3,323 zone, or the 61.8% Fibo. retracement level. Failure to defend the said support levels could make the Gold price vulnerable to weaken further towards the $3,300 round figure en route to the $3,283-3,282 horizontal zone and the $3,268 region, or the late June swing low. Gold FAQs Why do people invest in Gold? Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government. Who buys the most Gold? Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves. How is Gold correlated with other assets? Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal. What does the price of Gold depend on? The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

08:13 EUR/USD Price Forecast: Eyes 1.1900 support near ascending channel’s lower boundary
EUR/USD inches lower after registering around 0.5% gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1910 during the Asian hours on Monday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a strengthening of a bullish bias, as the pair continues to trade within an ascending channel pattern.

08:12 USD/CHF ticks down to near 0.8060, investors await Trump-Zelenskyy meet
The USD/CHF pair edges lower to near 0.8060 during the Asian trading session on Monday.

07:57 EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Positive view prevails above 172.50 amid risk-on sentiment
The EUR/JPY cross attracts some buyers to around 172.60 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The uncertainty over the likely timing of the next interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and risk-on sentiment weigh on the Japanese Yen (JPY) and act as a tailwind for the cross.

07:46 USD/INR declines as Indian PM Modi vows a wave of GST reforms to boost consumption
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens on a positive note against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday after an extended weekend due to a holiday on Friday on account of Independence Day.

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The USD/INR pair as the Indian Rupee has strengthened, following the announcement by India’s Prime Minister (PM) Narendra Modi, while raising the Indian Flag on the eve of Independence Day, that the government will bring “next generation Goods and Services Tax (GST) reforms” to boost domestic consumption.While praising India’s decadal-long journey in achieving self-reliance and transformation, and highlighting achievements of GST, Indian PM Modi vowed to bring a wave of reforms in the taxation system to ease the burden on middle-class households and boost demand, which will come by Diwali this year.Soon after Indian PM Modi’s announcement of tax reforms, the Union Finance Ministry released a blueprint that aims to simplify the GST structure by narrowing four tax slabs to two. According to the blueprint, two tax slabs 12% and 28% will be scrapped, and items in these brackets would move to the remaining labels of 5% and 18%.This comes at a time when trade tensions between the United States (US) and India have heated up as the former has raised tariffs on imports from New Delhi for buying Oil from Russia. Additionally, Washington has postponed trade talks with New Delhi, which were scheduled for Aug 25-29 in India.Lower burden of taxes on Indian households could prove to a major stroke to boost consumption – a move that could prompt inflationary pressures, which have been softened significantly in past few months. In July, India’s retail Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in at 1.55% on year, the lowest level seen since June 2017.Meanwhile, Indian stock markets have opened on a gap-up note on the announcement of taxation reforms. Nifty50 is up 1.5% near the psychological level of 25,000, the highest level seen this month.Daily digest market movers: Indian Rupee gains against US DollarGlobally, investors await US President Donald Trump’s meeting with European Union (EU) leaders and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy at the White House to discuss ending the war in Ukraine. This came after a summit in Alaska over the weekend in which Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin discussed a peace agreement between Moscow and Kyiv.Ahead of the Trump-Zelenskyy meeting, the US President has urged Kyiv to make a deal with Russia. Trump told Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy that Putin had offered to freeze most front lines if Kyiv ceded all of Donetsk, the industrial region that is one of Moscow’s main targets, Reuters reported.Signs of a Russia-Ukraine trade truce would be favorable for the Indian Rupee as US President Trump could roll back penalty tariffs imposed on New Delhi for buying Russian Oil.Meanwhile, the upside move in the USD/INR pair is also driven by weakness in the US Dollar. The US Dollar. During the press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades cautiously near an almost three-week low of around 97.86. The US Dollar faces selling pressure as traders have remained confident that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could reduce interest rates in the September monetary policy meeting.According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September is 82.6%.Traders have backed the Fed’s interest rate cuts in September due to cooling labor market conditions. However, the fresh lot of the US CPI and Producer Price Index (PPI) showed mixed responses. The US PPI report signaled that firms have started passing the tariff effect to consumers, while its impact remained absent in the consumer inflation data.On Friday, the comments from Chicago Fed Bank President Austan Goolsbee, in an interview with CNBC, signaled that he wants to see one more supporting inflation data to get reassured before backing interest rate cuts in September. "I feel like we still need another one at least to figure out if we’re still on the golden path”, Goolsbee said.This week, investors will pay close attention to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium to get fresh cues about whether the US central bank will cut interest rates next month.Technical Analysis: USD/INR slumps to near 87.60USD/INR opens lower around 87.60 on Monday after an extended weekend, the lowest level seen in over a week. However, the near-term trend of the pair remains bullish as the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) slopes higher around 87.35.The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) falls slightly below 60.00. A fresh bullish momentum could emerge if the RSI returns above that level.Looking down, the 20-day EMA will act as key support for the major. On the upside, the August 5 high around 88.25 will be a critical hurdle for the pair. Indian Rupee FAQs What are the key factors driving the Indian Rupee? The Indian Rupee (INR) is one of the most sensitive currencies to external factors. The price of Crude Oil (the country is highly dependent on imported Oil), the value of the US Dollar – most trade is conducted in USD – and the level of foreign investment, are all influential. Direct intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in FX markets to keep the exchange rate stable, as well as the level of interest rates set by the RBI, are further major influencing factors on the Rupee. How do the decisions of the Reserve Bank of India impact the Indian Rupee? The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) actively intervenes in forex markets to maintain a stable exchange rate, to help facilitate trade. In addition, the RBI tries to maintain the inflation rate at its 4% target by adjusting interest rates. Higher interest rates usually strengthen the Rupee. This is due to the role of the ‘carry trade’ in which investors borrow in countries with lower interest rates so as to place their money in countries’ offering relatively higher interest rates and profit from the difference. What macroeconomic factors influence the value of the Indian Rupee? Macroeconomic factors that influence the value of the Rupee include inflation, interest rates, the economic growth rate (GDP), the balance of trade, and inflows from foreign investment. A higher growth rate can lead to more overseas investment, pushing up demand for the Rupee. A less negative balance of trade will eventually lead to a stronger Rupee. Higher interest rates, especially real rates (interest rates less inflation) are also positive for the Rupee. A risk-on environment can lead to greater inflows of Foreign Direct and Indirect Investment (FDI and FII), which also benefit the Rupee. How does inflation impact the Indian Rupee? Higher inflation, particularly, if it is comparatively higher than India’s peers, is generally negative for the currency as it reflects devaluation through oversupply. Inflation also increases the cost of exports, leading to more Rupees being sold to purchase foreign imports, which is Rupee-negative. At the same time, higher inflation usually leads to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raising interest rates and this can be positive for the Rupee, due to increased demand from international investors. The opposite effect is true of lower inflation.

07:42 India Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data
Gold prices rose in India on Monday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

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The price for Gold stood at 9,426.44 Indian Rupees (INR) per gram, up compared with the INR 9,373.18 it cost on Friday. The price for Gold increased to INR 109,951.10 per tola from INR 109,325.70 per tola on friday. Unit measure Gold Price in INR 1 Gram 9,426.44 10 Grams 94,266.89 Tola 109,951.10 Troy Ounce 293,199.50 2025 Gold Forecast Guide [PDF] Download your free copy of the 2025 Gold Forecast FXStreet calculates Gold prices in India by adapting international prices (USD/INR) to the local currency and measurement units. Prices are updated daily based on the market rates taken at the time of publication. Prices are just for reference and local rates could diverge slightly. Gold FAQs Why do people invest in Gold? Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government. Who buys the most Gold? Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves. How is Gold correlated with other assets? Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal. What does the price of Gold depend on? The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up. (An automation tool was used in creating this post.)

07:30 Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) came in at 0.5%, above expectations (0.3%) in June
Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) came in at 0.5%, above expectations (0.3%) in June

07:21 AUD/JPY rises above 96.00 amid uncertain BoJ outlook, easing RBA rate cut odds
AUD/JPY appreciates after registering losses in the previous two consecutive sessions, trading around 96.10 during the Asian hours on Monday.

07:06 US Dollar Index holds steady below 98.00 on Fed dovish tone
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, trades on a flat note near 97.85 during the Asian trading hours on Monday.

06:54 USD/CAD falls to near 1.3800 due to prevailing dovish sentiment surrounding Fed outlook
USD/CAD loses ground after two days of gains, trading around 1.3800 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) could face further challenges amid the prevailing dovish tone surrounding the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook for September.

06:37 Japanese Yen drifts lower amid reduced safe-haven demand, BoJ rate hike uncertainty
The Japanese Yen (JPY) kicks off the new week on a weaker note amid a combination of factors, which, along with a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick, lifts the USD/JPY pair to mid-147.00s during the Asian session.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}The Japanese Yen drifts lower amid receding safe-haven demand and BoJ rate hike uncertainty.Reduced bets for a jumbo Fed rate cut in September support the USD and the USD/JPY pair.The divergent BoJ-Fed policy expectations warrant caution before placing aggressive bullish bets.The Japanese Yen (JPY) kicks off the new week on a weaker note amid a combination of factors, which, along with a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick, lifts the USD/JPY pair to mid-147.00s during the Asian session. The uncertainty over the likely timing of the next interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), along with the prevalent risk-on environment, is seen undermining the safe-haven JPY. However, firming expectations that the BoJ will stick to its policy normalization path might hold back the JPY bears from placing aggressive bets.Meanwhile, a relatively hawkish BoJ marks a significant divergence in comparison to other major central banks, including the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is anticipated to resume its rate-cutting cycle in September. This could act as a headwind for the USD and benefit the lower-yielding JPY, warranting some caution before positioning for any further appreciating move for the USD/JPY pair. Traders might also opt to move to the sidelines ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium later this week.Japanese Yen is undermined by hopes for an end to the Russia-Ukraine warThe high-stakes meeting between US President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin in Alaska yielded no clear breakthrough. Investors, however, remain hopeful that the dialogue has increased the chances of ending the prolonged war in Ukraine.Trump said early Monday that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy can end the war with Russia almost immediately if he wants to. Trump and Zelenskiy will have a bilateral meeting prior to the European leaders joining a larger conversation later today.The development helps ease geopolitical risks and remains supportive of the prevalent risk-on environment. This, in turn, prompts some selling around the safe-haven Japanese Yen during the Asian session on Monday amid the Bank of Japan rate-hike uncertainty.Domestic political uncertainty following the ruling Liberal Democratic Party’s loss in the upper house election, along with concern about the negative economic impact of higher US tariffs, suggests that the prospects for further BoJ policy normalization could be delayed.Meanwhile, data released on Friday showed that Japan's economy expanded more than expected in the second quarter despite US tariff headwinds. This, along with an upward revision of the BoJ's inflation forecast, keeps the door open for a rate hike by the year-end.In contrast, market participants are pricing in about 85% chances that the Federal Reserve will lower borrowing costs at the next policy meeting in September. Moreover, the US central bank is expected to deliver at least two 25-basis-point interest rate cuts in 2025.On the economic data front, the US Census Bureau reported on Friday that the US Retail Sales increased by 0.5% on a monthly basis in July. This followed the 0.9% increase (revised up from 0.6%) recorded in June and came in line with the market expectation.However, the preliminary data from the University of Michigan showed that the US Consumer Sentiment Index unexpectedly dropped to 58.6 from 61.7 in July, signalling a poor backdrop in public confidence. Moreover, the Expectations Index eased to 57.2 from 57.7.However, the one-year inflation expectations climbed to 4.9% from 4.5% and the five-year forecast increased to 3.9% from 3.4%. This comes on top of the strong US Producer Price Index released last Thursday and points to some gain of momentum in price pressures.This, in turn, further tempers bets for a more aggressive policy easing by the Fed and bets for a jumbo rate cut in September, which offers some support to the US Dollar and the USD/JPY pair. The lack of any meaningful buying, however, warrants caution for bulls.Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive directional bets and opt to wait for the release of the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday. Apart from this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium is expected to provide rate-cut cues and some meaningful impetus.USD/JPY is likely to confront a stiff hurdle and remain capped near the 148.00 markThe USD/JPY pair has been oscillating in a familiar range over the past two weeks or so. This points to a consolidation phase and makes it prudent to wait for an eventual break on either side before positioning for the next leg of a directional move amid neutral technical indicators on the daily chart.Meanwhile, an intraday rise beyond the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the downfall from the monthly swing high backs the case for additional gains. Any further move up beyond the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, however, is likely to confront stiff resistance near the 148.00 mark, or the 38.2% Fibo. retracement level.A sustained strength and acceptance above the said handle might shift the near-term bias in favor of bulls. The USD/JPY pair might then climb to the 148.55-148.60 region, or the 50% retracement level, and extend the positive momentum further towards the 149.00 round figure.On the flip side, the 147.10-147.00 area could offer immediate support, below which the USD/JPY pair could retest the multi-week low, around the 146.20 zone, touched last Thursday, Some follow-through selling, leading to a subsequent fall below the 146.00 round figure, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and make spot prices vulnerable to extend the fall to the the 145.40-145.30 region en route to the 145.00 psychological mark. Japanese Yen FAQs What key factors drive the Japanese Yen? The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors. How do the decisions of the Bank of Japan impact the Japanese Yen? One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen. How does the differential between Japanese and US bond yields impact the Japanese Yen? Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential. How does broader risk sentiment impact the Japanese Yen? The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.

06:11 Australian Dollar rises as upbeat jobs data support momentum, Fed dovish tone
The Australian Dollar (AUD) extends its gains for the second consecutive session on Monday. The AUD/USD pair holds gains as the US Dollar (USD) could face challenges amid the prevailing dovish tone surrounding the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook for September.

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The AUD/USD pair holds gains as the US Dollar (USD) could face challenges amid the prevailing dovish tone surrounding the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook for September.The AUD also received support as an upbeat Australian jobs data for July eased concerns about a weakening labor market, lessening the urgency for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to continue with another rate cut in September.RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated last week that current forecasts suggest the cash rate may need to be reduced to ensure price stability. However, Bullock emphasized the Board’s meeting-by-meeting approach and refrained from making any commitments on rate moves should financial markets experience a bout of volatility.Australian Dollar advances as US Dollar steadies amid dovish Fed outlookThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against six major currencies, is holding ground after registering losses in the previous session and trading around 97.90 at the time of writing. The Greenback may further lose ground as recent US economic data support the case for a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in September.The Trump administration has broadened its 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, taking effect on August 18. Friday’s notification has included 407 new product codes in the US Harmonized Tariff Schedule. US President Donald Trump also told reporters he intends to issue further announcements on steel tariffs, along with new levies aimed at semiconductor imports.President Trump said on Saturday that Ukraine should seek a deal to end the war with Russia, arguing that “Russia is a very big power, and they’re not.” His remarks followed reports from a recent summit in Alaska that Russian President Vladimir Putin had demanded additional Ukrainian territory, per Reuters.The preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 58.6 in August from 61.7 in July, falling short of the expected 62.0 reading. Meanwhile, the US Retail Sales grew by 0.5% month-over-month in July, as expected, against a rise of 0.9% seen in June. Retail Sales Control Group rose by 0.5%, compared to the 0.8% increase prior.US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview on Wednesday that short-term Fed interest rates should be 1.5-1.75% lower than the current benchmark rate at an effective 4.33%. Bessent added that there is a good chance the central bank could opt for a 50-basis-point rate cut in September.US President Donald Trump shared his "paper calculation" that Fed interest rates should be at or near 1%. Trump also noted interest rates should be three or four points lower. Interest rates are just a paper calculation, he added.US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Wednesday that US and Chinese trade officials will meet again within the next two to three months to discuss the future of their economic ties. “The US would need to see sustained progress on curbing fentanyl flows from China, potentially over months or even a year, before considering tariff reductions,” Bessent said.China’s Retail Sales rose 3.7% year-over-year in July, falling short of 4.6% expected and 4.8% in June. Meanwhile, Industrial Production increased 5.7% YoY, compared to the 5.9% forecast and 6.8% seen previously.Australia’s Employment Change arrived at 24.5K in July from 1K in June (revised from 2K), against the consensus forecast of 25K. Meanwhile, the Unemployment Rate fell to 4.2%, as expected, from 4.3% in June.The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut on Tuesday, as widely expected, bringing the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3.6% from 3.85% at the August policy meeting.Australian Dollar rebounds toward ascending channel after breaking above nine-day EMAThe AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6510 on Monday, with technical analysis on the daily chart suggesting a potential for a bullish recovery. The pair has rebounded and is attempting to return to the ascending channel pattern. The pair has moved above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), signaling that short-term momentum is strengthening. Moreover, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned on the 50 level, suggesting that market bias is neutral. Further movements will offer a clear directional trend.The successful return to the ascending channel would reinforce the bullish bias and support the AUD/USD pair to target the monthly high at 0.6568, reached on August 14. A break above this level may prompt the pair to approach the channel’s upper boundary around 0.6610, followed by the nine-month high of 0.6625, which was recorded on July 24.On the downside, the nine-day EMA at 0.6512 is acting as the immediate support, followed by the 50-day EMA at 0.6503 and a psychological level of 0.6500. A break below this crucial support zone would weaken the short- and medium-term price momentum and put downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair to navigate the region around the two-month low of 0.6419, recorded on August 1.AUD/USD: Daily Chart Australian Dollar PRICE Today The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen. USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF USD 0.10% 0.03% 0.21% -0.06% -0.07% -0.11% 0.11% EUR -0.10% -0.08% 0.09% -0.17% -0.16% -0.24% 0.02% GBP -0.03% 0.08% 0.08% -0.08% -0.08% -0.16% 0.05% JPY -0.21% -0.09% -0.08% -0.24% -0.25% -0.28% -0.08% CAD 0.06% 0.17% 0.08% 0.24% -0.04% -0.05% 0.13% AUD 0.07% 0.16% 0.08% 0.25% 0.04% -0.08% 0.14% NZD 0.11% 0.24% 0.16% 0.28% 0.05% 0.08% 0.18% CHF -0.11% -0.02% -0.05% 0.08% -0.13% -0.14% -0.18% The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote). Australian Dollar FAQs What key factors drive the Australian Dollar? One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Because Australia is a resource-rich country another key driver is the price of its biggest export, Iron Ore. The health of the Chinese economy, its largest trading partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, its growth rate and Trade Balance. Market sentiment – whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) – is also a factor, with risk-on positive for AUD. How do the decisions of the Reserve Bank of Australia impact the Australian Dollar? The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences the Australian Dollar (AUD) by setting the level of interest rates that Australian banks can lend to each other. This influences the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of the RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates compared to other major central banks support the AUD, and the opposite for relatively low. The RBA can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former AUD-negative and the latter AUD-positive. How does the health of the Chinese Economy impact the Australian Dollar? China is Australia’s largest trading partner so the health of the Chinese economy is a major influence on the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy is doing well it purchases more raw materials, goods and services from Australia, lifting demand for the AUD, and pushing up its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy is not growing as fast as expected. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, often have a direct impact on the Australian Dollar and its pairs. How does the price of Iron Ore impact the Australian Dollar? Iron Ore is Australia’s largest export, accounting for $118 billion a year according to data from 2021, with China as its primary destination. The price of Iron Ore, therefore, can be a driver of the Australian Dollar. Generally, if the price of Iron Ore rises, AUD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Iron Ore falls. Higher Iron Ore prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance for Australia, which is also positive of the AUD. How does the Trade Balance impact the Australian Dollar? The Trade Balance, which is the difference between what a country earns from its exports versus what it pays for its imports, is another factor that can influence the value of the Australian Dollar. If Australia produces highly sought after exports, then its currency will gain in value purely from the surplus demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase its exports versus what it spends to purchase imports. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens the AUD, with the opposite effect if the Trade Balance is negative.

05:13 WTI slumps below $62.00 as traders brace for Trump-Zelenskiy talks
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $61.80 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The WTI tumbles as traders remain cautious ahead of US President Donald Trump’s meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Monday.

04:37 EUR/USD moves below 1.1700, downside seems limited due to dovish Fed tone
EUR/USD edges lower after registering around 0.5% gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1690 during the Asian hours on Monday.

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However, the pair may further regain its ground as the US Dollar (USD) could struggle, driven by prevailing dovish tone surrounding the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook for September. Traders will likely observe the preliminary reading of the US S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data due later in the day.US economic data keep the case for a September Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut intact. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 58.6 in August from 61.7 in July, falling short of the expected 62.0 reading. Meanwhile, the US Retail Sales increased by 0.5% on a monthly basis in July, compared to a rise of 0.9% seen in June. This reading came in line with the market consensus.Money markets are now pricing in nearly a 93% odds of a 25 basis points (bps) Fed rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch tool.The Trump administration has broadened its 50% tariffs, take effect August 18, on steel and aluminum imports to include 407 new product codes to the US Harmonized Tariff Schedule. President Trump also told reporters he intends to issue further announcements on steel tariffs, along with new levies aimed at semiconductor imports.US President Donald Trump said Saturday that Ukraine should seek a deal to end the war with Russia, arguing that “Russia is a very big power, and they’re not.” His remarks followed reports from a recent summit in Alaska that Russian President Vladimir Putin had demanded additional Ukrainian territory, per Reuters.Traders will likely watch upcoming inflation data from Eurozone (EU) and Germany, which could influence the case that the European Central Bank (ECB) can pause its easing cycle. Euro FAQs What is the Euro? The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%). What is the ECB and how does it impact the Euro? The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates – or the expectation of higher rates – will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde. How does inflation data impact the value of the Euro? Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB’s 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money. How does economic data influence the value of the Euro? Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone’s economy. How does the Trade Balance impact the Euro? Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

04:34 NZD/USD clings to gains near 0.5930 amid positive risk tone; lacks follow-trough
The NZD/USD pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week and holds comfortably above the 0.5900 mark during the Asian session, though it lacks bullish conviction.

.fxs-event-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-event-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-event-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-event-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:12px}.fxs-event-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-event-module-header{color:#1b1c23;font-weight:700;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;line-height:20px;margin:0;padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;padding-right:32px}.fxs-event-module-header label{cursor:pointer;display:block}.fxs-event-module-header label:after,.fxs-event-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-event-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-event-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-event-module-content{color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0;margin-top:8px}.fxs-event-module-content.why-matters{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-content.why-matters{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:17.6px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:20.8px;margin:4px 0 0 0}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title-description-wrapper{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;padding-bottom:16px;margin-bottom:16px}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar{padding:16px}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-section{padding:0}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-header{font-size:12.8px;line-height:17px}.fxs-event-module-read-more{display:flex;align-items:center;align-content:center;gap:4px;color:#e4871b;font-size:12.8px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:17px;text-decoration:none}.fxs-event-module-read-more svg{width:16px;height:16px}.fxs-event-module-read-more:hover span{text-decoration:underline}.fxs-event-module-release{margin:0;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:2px}.fxs-event-module-release>p{font-size:12.8px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;line-height:17px;margin:0}.fxs-event-module-release>p>strong{color:#8c8d91;font-weight:700}.fxs-event-module-release>p>span{color:#8c8d91;font-weight:400}.fxs-event-module-release>p>a{color:#e4871b;font-weight:700;text-decoration:none}.fxs-event-module-release>p>a:hover>span{text-decoration:underline}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-container{margin:16px 0 0 0;border-top:1px solid #ececf1;padding:12px 0 0 0}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-header{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-release p{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-read-more{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title{font-size:22.4px;line-height:25.6px}.fxs-event-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-event-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-event-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}NZD/USD attracts some buyers as the upbeat market mood benefits the risk-sensitive Kiwi.A modest USD uptick caps the currency pair amid bets for another RBNZ rate cut this week.The Jackson Hole Symposium will also be looked for Fed rate cut cues and a fresh impetus.The NZD/USD pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week and holds comfortably above the 0.5900 mark during the Asian session, though it lacks bullish conviction. The upbeat market mood is seen acting as a tailwind for the risk-sensitive Kiwi, though a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick acts as a headwind for the currency pair as traders seem reluctant ahead of this week's key central bank events.The high-stakes meeting between US President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin in Alaska yielded no clear breakthrough. Investors, however, remain hopeful that the start of a dialogue has increased the chances of ending the prolonged war in Ukraine. This, in turn, remains supportive of the upbeat market mood, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor benefiting the New Zealand Dollar (NZD).The upside for the NZD/USD pair, however, remains capped in the wake of the emergence of some US Dollar (USD) buying. Apart from this, expectations that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will lower interest rates at its policy meeting this Wednesday amid weak labour market data, subdued inflation expectations, and slowing wage growth hold back the NZD bulls from placing aggressive bets.Furthermore, traders might opt to wait for more cues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut path before positioning for the next leg of a directional move for the NZD/USD pair. Hence, the focus will remain glued to comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium, which will influence the USD price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the currency pair. Economic Indicator RBNZ Interest Rate Decision The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announces its interest rate decision after each of its seven scheduled annual policy meetings. If the RBNZ is hawkish and sees inflationary pressures rising, it raises the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to bring inflation down. This is positive for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) since higher interest rates attract more capital inflows. Likewise, if it reaches the view that inflation is too low it lowers the OCR, which tends to weaken NZD. Read more. Next release: Wed Aug 20, 2025 02:00 Frequency: Irregular Consensus: 3% Previous: 3.25% Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand Why it matters to traders? The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) holds monetary policy meetings seven times a year, announcing their decision on interest rates and the economic assessments that influenced their decision. The central bank offers clues on the economic outlook and future policy path, which are of high relevance for the NZD valuation. Positive economic developments and upbeat outlook could lead the RBNZ to tighten the policy by hiking interest rates, which tends to be NZD bullish. The policy announcements are usually followed by interim Governor Christian Hawkesby's press conference.

04:30 US President Donald Trump says Zelenskiy could end war immediately
US President Donald Trump said early Monday that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy can end the war with Russia almost immediately if he wants to, or he can continue to fight.

04:15 PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1322 vs. 7.1371 previous
On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.1322 as compared to Friday's fix of 7.1371 and 7.1793 Reuters estimate.

04:12 GBP/USD weakens to near 1.3550 on modest US Dollar strength
The GBP/USD pair loses ground to near 1.3555 during the early Asian session on Monday, pressured by a firmer US Dollar (USD). Markets turn cautious ahead of a meeting between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy later on Monday.

03:48 Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rebounds from 200-SMA on H4, $38.25 barrier holds the key
Silver (XAG/USD) attracts some dip-buyers near the $37.80 region during the Asian session on Monday. The white metal climbs back above the $38.00 mark, hitting a fresh daily peak in the last hour.

03:05 Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds below $3,350 ahead of US-Ukraine talks
The Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers to around $3,330 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal edges lower after unexpectedly strong US Producer Price Index (PPI) data.

02:21 AUD/USD gathers strength above 0.6500 as Fed rate cut bets remain intact
The AUD/USD pair gains ground around 0.6510 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) remains weak against the Australian Dollar (AUD) as US economic data keep the case for a September Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut intact.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}AUD/USD strengthens to near 0.6510 in Monday’s early Asian session. Flash UoM Consumer Sentiment missed the consensus in August; Retail Sales came in line with the consensus. Softer China’s Retail Sales and Industrial Production might cap the upside for the China-proxy Aussie. The AUD/USD pair gains ground around 0.6510 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) remains weak against the Australian Dollar (AUD) as US economic data keep the case for a September Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut intact. Investors will keep an eye on the preliminary reading of the US S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, which is due later on Thursday. US Consumer Sentiment lost momentum in early August, declining to 58.6 in August from 61.7 in July, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan (UoM). This figure came in worse than the expectation of 62.0 and signaled a poor backdrop in public confidence, which exerted some selling pressure on the Greenback. Meanwhile, the US Retail Sales increased by 0.5% on a monthly basis in July, compared to a rise of 0.9% seen in June, the US Census Bureau reported on Friday. This reading came in line with the market consensus. Money markets are now pricing in nearly a 93% odds of a 25 basis points (bps) Fed rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch tool.On the other hand, softer Chinese economic reports released on Friday might drag the China-proxy Aussie lower. The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Friday that China’s Retail Sales increased 3.7% YoY in July, compared to 4.6% expected and 4.8% in June. Meanwhile, Industrial Production rose 5.7% YoY in July versus 6.8% prior. This figure came in worse than the estimation of 2.7%. It’s worth noting that China is a major trading partner of Australia and weak Chinese data tends to have a negative impact on the AUD value. Australian Dollar FAQs What key factors drive the Australian Dollar? One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Because Australia is a resource-rich country another key driver is the price of its biggest export, Iron Ore. The health of the Chinese economy, its largest trading partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, its growth rate and Trade Balance. Market sentiment – whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) – is also a factor, with risk-on positive for AUD. How do the decisions of the Reserve Bank of Australia impact the Australian Dollar? The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences the Australian Dollar (AUD) by setting the level of interest rates that Australian banks can lend to each other. This influences the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of the RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates compared to other major central banks support the AUD, and the opposite for relatively low. The RBA can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former AUD-negative and the latter AUD-positive. How does the health of the Chinese Economy impact the Australian Dollar? China is Australia’s largest trading partner so the health of the Chinese economy is a major influence on the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy is doing well it purchases more raw materials, goods and services from Australia, lifting demand for the AUD, and pushing up its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy is not growing as fast as expected. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, often have a direct impact on the Australian Dollar and its pairs. How does the price of Iron Ore impact the Australian Dollar? Iron Ore is Australia’s largest export, accounting for $118 billion a year according to data from 2021, with China as its primary destination. The price of Iron Ore, therefore, can be a driver of the Australian Dollar. Generally, if the price of Iron Ore rises, AUD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Iron Ore falls. Higher Iron Ore prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance for Australia, which is also positive of the AUD. How does the Trade Balance impact the Australian Dollar? The Trade Balance, which is the difference between what a country earns from its exports versus what it pays for its imports, is another factor that can influence the value of the Australian Dollar. If Australia produces highly sought after exports, then its currency will gain in value purely from the surplus demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase its exports versus what it spends to purchase imports. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens the AUD, with the opposite effect if the Trade Balance is negative.

02:05 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 0.1% to 0.3% in August
United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 0.1% to 0.3% in August

02:02 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM): -1.3% (August) vs previous -1.2%
United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM): -1.3% (August) vs previous -1.2%

01:56 New Zealand Business NZ PSI climbed from previous 47.3 to 48.9 in July
New Zealand Business NZ PSI climbed from previous 47.3 to 48.9 in July

01:48 White House envoy says US, Russia agreed on Ukraine security pledges — Bloomberg
US special envoy Steve Witkoff on Sunday said that US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed at their summit in Alaska that the United States (US) would be able to offer security guarantees to Ukraine, Bloomberg reported on Sunday.

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08:42 GBP/JPY climbs back to 200.00, remains close to over one-year peak touched last week The GBP/JPY cross regains positive traction at the start of a new week and climbs back closer to the 200.00 psychological mark during the Asian session.

08:15 Gold rebounds from two-week low ahead of Trump-Zelensky meeting Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds swiftly from over a two-week low, around the $3,324-3,323 area touched during the Asian session on Monday, and touches a fresh daily top in the last hour.

08:12 USD/CHF ticks down to near 0.8060, investors await Trump-Zelenskyy meet The USD/CHF pair edges lower to near 0.8060 during the Asian trading session on Monday.

07:46 USD/INR declines as Indian PM Modi vows a wave of GST reforms to boost consumption The Indian Rupee (INR) opens on a positive note against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday after an extended weekend due to a holiday on Friday on account of Independence Day.

07:42 India Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data Gold prices rose in India on Monday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

07:30 Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) came in at 0.5%, above expectations (0.3%) in June Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) came in at 0.5%, above expectations (0.3%) in June

07:21 AUD/JPY rises above 96.00 amid uncertain BoJ outlook, easing RBA rate cut odds AUD/JPY appreciates after registering losses in the previous two consecutive sessions, trading around 96.10 during the Asian hours on Monday.

07:06 US Dollar Index holds steady below 98.00 on Fed dovish tone The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, trades on a flat note near 97.85 during the Asian trading hours on Monday.

06:37 Japanese Yen drifts lower amid reduced safe-haven demand, BoJ rate hike uncertainty The Japanese Yen (JPY) kicks off the new week on a weaker note amid a combination of factors, which, along with a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick, lifts the USD/JPY pair to mid-147.00s during the Asian session.

04:37 EUR/USD moves below 1.1700, downside seems limited due to dovish Fed tone EUR/USD edges lower after registering around 0.5% gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1690 during the Asian hours on Monday.

04:34 NZD/USD clings to gains near 0.5930 amid positive risk tone; lacks follow-trough The NZD/USD pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week and holds comfortably above the 0.5900 mark during the Asian session, though it lacks bullish conviction.

04:30 US President Donald Trump says Zelenskiy could end war immediately US President Donald Trump said early Monday that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy can end the war with Russia almost immediately if he wants to, or he can continue to fight.

04:15 PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1322 vs. 7.1371 previous On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.1322 as compared to Friday's fix of 7.1371 and 7.1793 Reuters estimate.

03:48 Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rebounds from 200-SMA on H4, $38.25 barrier holds the key Silver (XAG/USD) attracts some dip-buyers near the $37.80 region during the Asian session on Monday. The white metal climbs back above the $38.00 mark, hitting a fresh daily peak in the last hour.

03:05 Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds below $3,350 ahead of US-Ukraine talks The Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers to around $3,330 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal edges lower after unexpectedly strong US Producer Price Index (PPI) data.

02:05 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 0.1% to 0.3% in August United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 0.1% to 0.3% in August

02:02 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM): -1.3% (August) vs previous -1.2% United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM): -1.3% (August) vs previous -1.2%

01:56 New Zealand Business NZ PSI climbed from previous 47.3 to 48.9 in July New Zealand Business NZ PSI climbed from previous 47.3 to 48.9 in July

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